At an election in 2010, 15% of voters in Bratfield voted for the Renewal Party. One year later, a researcher asked 30 randomly selected voters in Bratfield whether they would vote for the Renewal Party if there were an election next week. 2 of these 30 voters said that they would.
a) Use a binomial distribution to test, at the 4% significance level, the null hypothesis that there has been no change in the support for the Renewal Party in Bratfield against the alternative hypothesis that there has been a decrease in support since the 2010 election.
b)(i) Explain why the conclusion in part (a) cannot involve a Type I error.
(ii) State the circumstances in which the conclusion in part (a) would involve a Type II error.
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